Asian Stocks Fall on China Policy Readout, Dollar: Markets Wrap
Asian equities fell Friday as a lack of details from a Chinese economic conference disappointed some traders and risk appetite weakened ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. Japanese and Australian shares declined after selling on Wall Street hit stocks and government bonds Thursday. A gauge of Asian stocks is headed for the worst week in nearly a month. The S&P 500 ended 0.5% down as traders weighed higher than-expected jobless claims against too-hot producer price data. Shares in China and Hong Kong slipped following a readout from China’s Central Economic Work Conference that lacked policy details and fresh measures. Top officials vowed to raise the fiscal deficit target next year following the two-day conference.
Dow falls more than 200 points after warm inflation report, Nasdaq retreats from record
Stocks fell Thursday, weighed down by a hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation report, as tech shares failed to keep the momentum seen earlier in the week. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 0.66%, dipping back below the 20,000 threshold to end at 19,902.84. The broad market S&P 500 shed 0.54% to close at 6,051.25. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 234.44 points, or 0.53%, to settle at 43,914.12. It was the 30-stock index’s sixth straight losing day. Tech names were among the notable decliners, with Nvidia losing more than 1%. Software giant Adobe declined more than 13% following the company’s weaker-than-expected 2025 outlook. Meta Platforms, Alphabet and Amazon ended the session lower as well. The producer price index, which tracks wholesale prices, increased 0.4% last month. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a 0.2% increase on a monthly basis. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped to the highest level in two weeks following the data.
Oil prices fell slightly Thursday as a forecast for ample supply in the oil market offset optimism stemming from rising expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut. Brent crude futures fell 11 cents to close at $73.41 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures declined 27 cents to settle at $70.02. Both benchmarks rose by more than $1 on Wednesday. The International Energy Agency said it expected the oil market to be comfortably supplied next year, even as it revised its demand outlook for next year up slightly. OPEC cut its demand growth forecast for 2024 for the fifth straight month on Wednesday and by the largest amount yet.
Gold slides from 5-week high, down over 1% on profit-taking
Gold slipped over 1% on Thursday as investors booked profits after it briefly reached a five-week high earlier in the session and squared positions ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting next week. Spot gold lost 1.2% at $2,684.32 per ounce by 12:36 p.m. ET (1735 GMT), while U.S. gold futures eased 1.7% to $2,709.70. Bullion climbed to its highest level since Nov. 6 earlier in the session.
European Central Bank cuts interest rates by a quarter point in fourth trim of the year
The European Central Bank on Thursday announced its fourth interest rate cut of 2024, confirming expectations for a quarter-percentage-point move and lowering its inflation forecast for this and next year. It takes the deposit facility, the ECB’s key rate, to 3%. The deposit facility had been held at 4% since Sept. 2023, prior to the first cut of the current easing cycle in June 2024. The disinflation process is well on track, the central bank said in a statement on Thursday. The ECB also removed its repeated message that it needs to keep policy rates sufficiently restrictive for as long as necessary, which was being closely-watched by traders as a sign of a dovish tilt. Quarterly staff macroeconomic projections meanwhile lowered the ECB’s inflation forecast for 2024 to 2.4% from 2.5%. The inflation outlook for 2025 was also taken down to 2.1% from 2.2%.
India’s inflation slows from 14-month high, raising hopes of interest rate cut under new governor
It also comes after the RBI held rates at 6.5% during its latest monetary policy meeting last week, despite a surprise slowdown in economic growth. India’s economy expanded by just 5.4% in its second fiscal quarter ending September, well below estimates by economists and close to a two-year low.
China stresses plans to boost growth at top agenda-setting meeting
China held its annual economic work conference on Wednesday and Thursday, according to a daily evening news broadcast on state-run CCTV. Top leaders affirmed the recent policy shift, including plans to increase the fiscal deficit next year and implement moderately loose monetary policy. China typically announces the full-year growth target and fiscal deficit at an annual parliamentary meeting in March.
South Korea Support for Yoon Hits Record Low Before Key Impeachment Vote
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol’s approval rating slid to its lowest level since he took office as he tried to defend his declaration of martial law and push back against efforts to oust him via impeachment. The support rate for Yoon dropped to 11% in a weekly tracking poll released Friday by Gallup Korea, down 5% percentage points from last week’s survey. Three-quarters of respondents said the president should be impeached. The survey was released after South Korea’s opposition bloc filed a second impeachment motion against Yoon on Thursday. The chances of its passage appear higher than the previous vote as more lawmakers from Yoon’s own People Power Party have indicated they will support the motion.
China Economy Forecast to Maintain Growth as Stimulus Kicks In
China’s economy likely maintained momentum last month, with early indicators pointing to further stabilization as a broad package of stimulus measures took effect. Industrial output and retail sales are expected to have grown at the same if not slightly faster pace in November compared to October, according to forecasts by economists in a Bloomberg survey. The data are due Monday.
Wholesale prices rose 0.4% in November, more than expected
The producer price index increased 0.4% for November, higher than the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 0.2%. However, excluding food and energy, core PPI increased 0.2%, meeting the forecast. First-time claims for unemployment insurance totaled a seasonally adjusted 242,000 for the week ending Dec. 7, versus the 220,000 forecast and up 17,000 from the prior period.
Broadcom rallied 14% in afterhours trading after predicting a boom in demand for its artificial intelligence chips
Sales of AI products will gain 65% in the fiscal first quarter, far faster than its overall semiconductor growth of about 10%, the company said. The chipmaker also predicted that the addressable market for AI components that it designs for data center operators would reach as high as $90 billion by fiscal 2027. Like Nvidia Corp., Broadcom is positioning itself to be a major beneficiary of the AI spending frenzy. And Chief Executive Officer Hock Tan said his company had won two major new hyperscaler customers. Investors have piled into Broadcom’s stock this year, lured by AI optimism. The company had predicted that it would get more than $10 billion in annual revenue from that market, outpacing other parts of its business. Ultimately, the number reached $12.2 billion in the last fiscal year. AI revenue grew 220% during the year, fueled by demand for processors and networking components, Tan said. Demand for non-AI chips, meanwhile, will be down in the first quarter. Total sales will be $14.6 billion in the period, which runs through January, in line with estimates. Profit was $1.42 a share in the fourth quarter. Revenue rose to nearly $14.1 billion in the period, which ended Nov. 3. Analysts had estimated $1.39 a share in earnings and revenue of $14.1 billion.
Kroger shares rose 3.2% after the supermarket company said it was resuming share buybacks after its failed merger with Albertsons. The company’s board approved a new program of up to $7.5 billion shares
Evercore ISI (outperform, PT $70): This is the big buyback that we had been waiting for and then some and we are pleased to see this come in ahead. Oppenheimer (perform): Recent developments are a positive, removing a key overhang for shares, and KR management has executed quite well in a difficult grocery backdrop.
Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. is reorganizing into two divisions, one focused on streaming and studios and the other on cable TV networks, a move that positions the company for future dealmaking
The media company, the parent of CNN and TNT, announced it’s creating a Global Linear Networks division for its cable channels in news, sports, and scripted and unscripted programming. A new Streaming & Studios unit will be home to online video operations like Max, the HBO cable business and the Warner Bros. film and entertainment studios. Our new corporate structure better aligns our organization and enhances our flexibility with potential future strategic opportunities across an evolving media landscape, Warner Bros. Chief Executive Officer David Zaslav said. Shares of Warner Bros. rose 15.4%.
Lonza shares rose 4.9% after the health care group announced that it would divest from its capsule business at an appropriate time
Lonza plans to focus on its core CDMO business and will exit Capsules & Health Ingredients (CHI) business at the appropriate time and in the best interest of shareholders and stakeholders. CDMO business will be structured into 3 new business platforms: Integrated Biologics, Advanced Synthesis, and Specialized Modalities. Full-Year Outlook 2024 confirmed at flat CER sales growth and a Core Ebitda margin in high twenties (27%–29%). Lonza CDMO FY outlook 2025: approaching 20% sales growth in CER, including around CHF0.5 billion sales from Vacaville, and Core Ebitda margin approaching 30%.