Asian Currencies Hit Two-Decade Low, Stocks Mixed: Markets Wrap
A gauge of Asian currencies hit its lowest in almost two decades against the dollar and equities fluctuated, with gains from a buoyant chip sector countered by declines in Japanese stocks. Benchmarks in Taiwan and South Korea advanced, helped by SK Hynix Inc. and other technology firms after Microsoft Corp.’s plan to spend $80 billion on data centers stoked interest. Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., the assembly partner to Nvidia Corp. and Apple Inc., rallied after the company also known as Foxconn reported better-than-expected revenue. Japan’s Topix dropped, with Nippon Steel Corp. declining after US President Joe Biden blocked the company’s planned $14.1 billion takeover of United States Steel Corp. US equity futures pointed to a weaker open on Wall Street later in the day. The up-and-down action in Asian stocks suggests investors are wary of piling on more risk due to looming US-China trade tensions. While monetary policy easing, Beijing’s stimulus measures, and AI-driven optimism may power gains, tariffs threaten to undermine momentum.
S&P 500, Nasdaq snap five-day losing streak, but still close lower on the week
Stocks closed higher Friday as Wall Street recovered following a shaky start to the new year. The S&P 500 closed up 73.92 points, or 1.26%, at 5,942.47, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 339.86 points, or 0.8%, to end the day at 42,732.13. The Nasdaq Composite gained 340.88 points, or 1.77%, to close at 19,621.68. Tech stocks were a bright spot for the market on Friday. Chip giant Nvidia climbed 4.7%, while server maker Super Micro Computer jumped 10.9%. Those stocks could benefit from continued spending on artificial intelligence, as will Constellation Energy and Vistra, with shares up 4% and 8.5%, respectively. Microsoft announced Friday that it would spend $80 billion on AI-enabled data centers in fiscal 2025, and power producers have been boosted by the trend. The rally on Friday was broad, though some of the best performers were also big winners during last year’s rally.
Oil hovers at highest since Oct on cold weather, China stimulus
Oil prices hovered at their highest since October on Monday as investors eyed the impact on global fuel demand from colder weather in the Northern Hemisphere and Beijing’s economic stimulus measures. Brent crude futures rose 15 cents, or 0.2%, to $76.66 a barrel by 0125 GMT after settling on Friday at its highest since Oct. 14. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 22 cents, or 0.3%, at $74.18 a barrel after closing on Friday at its highest since Oct. 11. Beijing is cranking up fiscal stimulus to revitalize the faltering economy, announcing on Friday that it will sharply increase funding from ultra-long dated treasury bonds in 2025 to spur business investment and consumer-boosting initiatives. Also, its central bank said on Friday it will cut banks’ reserve requirement ratio and interest rates at a proper time. Last year, slowing economic growth and a transition to cleaner fuels in its transport sector weighed on crude imports and fuel demand in China, the world’s largest oil importer and No. 2 consumer.
Gold set for weekly rise; eyes on Fed, Trump’s 2025 policies
Gold prices inched higher on Monday, supported by a softer dollar, while investors awaited a slew of U.S. economic data including the December nonfarm payrolls report for further guidance on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate stance. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,643.69 per ounce by 0229 GMT. U.S. gold futures climbed 0.1% to $2,656.80.
Canada’s Trudeau Is Likely to Resign This Week, Globe Says
Justin Trudeau is expected to announce his resignation as leader of Canada’s Liberal Party this week, the Globe and Mail reported, a move that would trigger a contest to replace him as prime minister. Trudeau has been under pressure from elected lawmakers in his party to quit for months. That has only intensified since Chrystia Freeland, his finance minister, stepped down on Dec. 16, saying she and the prime minister were at odds on policy.
Trump Haunts Central Banks Primed for Wary Rate Cuts in 2025
Global central bankers are poised to cut borrowing costs further in 2025, but only warily and with a keen eye on the policies of incoming US President Donald Trump. While almost all major economies should see monetary easing during the coming year, the pace is likely to slow.
Biden Decision on US Steel Deal Followed Divide in His Orbit
Two weeks after the US election, hundreds of allies gathered at the White House to soothe Joe Biden in defeat. Tracking the closed-door bash for clues was a group rarely interested in the routine preening of Washington: arbitrage traders. The traders, who buy and sell the stock of companies in the middle of mergers and acquisitions, and investors were hanging on every event for a clue to the fate of the sale of United States Steel Corp., a hallowed but humbled American giant, to Japan-based Nippon Steel Corp.
Fed’s Kugler, Daly say job not done on inflation
Two Federal Reserve policymakers on Saturday said they feel the U.S. central bank’s job of taming inflation is not yet done, but also signaled they do not want to risk damaging the labor market as they try to finish that job. The remarks, from Governor Adriana Kugler and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, highlight the delicate balancing act facing U.S. central bankers this year as they look to slow their pace of rate-cutting. The Fed lowered short-term rates by a full percentage point last year, to a current range of 4.25%-4.50%.
China Services Gauge Rises to Highest Since May on Stimulus
China’s services activity expanded at the fastest pace since May, a private survey showed, signaling improving domestic demand after Beijing’s stimulus blitz. The Caixin China services purchasing managers’ index rose to 52.2 in December from 51.5 the previous month, according to a statement released by Caixin and S&P Global on Monday. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg was 51.4. A reading above 50 points to expansion.
Sam Altman says OpenAI ‘losing money’ on pro subscriptions
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said that the company is losing money on its pro subscription services, claiming that people were using it much more than expected. “Insane thing: we are currently losing money on OpenAI pro subscriptions! People use it much more than we expected,” Altman said in a post on the social media site X on Sunday evening. OpenAI had in December launched a new subscription tier called ChatGPT Pro, which offers users nigh-unlimited access to ChatGPT tools for $200 a month. The subscription also provides exclusive access to a model called o1 pro mode that uses more computing power to provide answers. Apart from pro, OpenAI has a $20 monthly subscription for access to ChatGPT’s latest model. The company also provides free access to the AI tool. ChatGPT was one of the fastest-growing applications in terms of users, seeing over a 100 million users within months of its launch in late-2022. But a slew of media reports over the past year underscored OpenAI’s unprofitability, as the Microsoft-backed AI giant burnt through cash with rapidly increasing operational costs- tied largely to the high amounts of processing power required to run its flagship AI models. While OpenAI does generate steady revenue from its subscription services, especially through enterprise deals, its operational costs have largely overshadowed its income. A New York Times (NYSE:NYT) report in September said the firm was set to clock a loss of $5 billion in 2024, against revenues of $3.7 billion. The firm had in October completed a $6.6 billion funding round that valued the AI giant at $157 billion. Tech giants including Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) and NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) had participated in the round.
Trump urges Congress to pass his agenda in a single, massive bill
President-elect Donald Trump on Sunday urged his fellow Republicans in Congress to combine his priorities into one massive bill that would cut taxes, bolster border security and increase domestic energy production. Trump said Republicans could cover the cost – which could amount to trillions of dollars – by raising tariffs on imported goods. “Republicans must unite, and quickly deliver these Historic Victories for the American People. Get smart, tough, and send the Bill to my desk to sign as soon as possible,” he wrote on his Truth Social platform.
Alcoholic beverage stocks fell in Europe and the US after the US Surgeon General, Vivek Murthy, outlined the direct link between alcohol consumption and heightened cancer risk, and called for warning labels
Alcohol is responsible for about 100,000 cases of cancer and 20,000 cancer deaths annually in the US, Murthy says. Drinking increases risk at least seven types of cancer including cancers of the breast, colorectum, esophagus, liver, mouth, throat, and voice box (larynx), regardless of the type of alcohol. “Alcoholic-beverage companies like Constellation Brands serving the $321 billion US market are at greater risk of consumer backlash tied to possible cancer-warning labels if regulators act on the US surgeon general’s recommendation to carry them,” wrote Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Kenneth Shea. That said, Shea says he’s “skeptical that such a warning label mandate will be enacted in the near term, given the political changes in Washington and the incoming Trump administration’s pro-business stance.
Stellantis shares fell 3.5% as some EV models that had previously received US tax credits for electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids failed to make it into the new list under tougher rules
Stellantis models including two plug-in hybrid Jeep sport utility vehicles that previously received as much as $3,750 are now ineligible. The reclassification, part of President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act, tightens domestic sourcing requirements for battery parts and the raw materials used to build them. The number of EVs and plug-in hybrids that currently qualify for a credit is 18 models, down from 22 last year.
Adobe Inc (ADBE US)
Spanish banks lead a decline in European banking stocks, with the country’s lenders seen as more sensitive than euro-area peers to falling interest rates and bond yields. Santander fell 1.4% amid concern that upcoming rate cuts from the European Central Bank will pressure the banks’ lending income.
Constellation Energy and Vistra rose after President Joe Biden loosened some safeguards on a tax credit worth billions of dollars for hydrogen production, a move which Evercore ISI called “a step in the right direction” for nuclear power providers
The tax credit created by President Joe Biden’s signature climate law now includes a carve-out, sought by companies including Constellation Energy, that will benefit some existing nuclear power plants, according to final rules released by the Treasury Department. Constellation shares gained 4% and Vistra +8.5%. “We are pleased to see that the U.S. Treasury Department has changed course and that the final rule allows a significant portion of the existing merchant nuclear fleet to earn credits for hydrogen production,” Constellation president and CEO Joe Dominguez said.
Rivian shares soared 24.5% Friday after the company reported production for the fourth quarter that beat the average analyst estimate
FOURTH QUARTER RESULTS: Production 12,727 vehicles, estimate 11,458. Vehicles Delivered 14,183, estimate 13,402. “We believe the beat reflects improved consumer awareness as Rivian continues to establish its position as a key EV OEM for North America,” Benchmark analysts led by Mickey Legg wrote. Adds that production is no longer constrained by supply chain shortages, boosting confidence in growth trajectory. Maintains buy rating, PT $18.
United States Steel shares fell 6.5% after President Joe Biden blocked the sale of the steelmaker to Japan’s Nippon Steel
“Despite Japan being both a close ally and the largest foreign investor in the US, we view the deal’s demise as a clear deterrent for foreign entrants interested in buying entry into the US steel market,” JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson wrote. Biden’s block of the takeover means US Steel “must now demonstrate the fruits of its $4 billion strategic investment program,” Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Richard Bourke wrote. Says the program had attracted “steel industry suitors” and the company must “demonstrate that it will close the performance gap across the cycle and compete effectively against Nucor and Steel Dynamics”.